Improving the downscaling of climate model for impacts assessments
We improved downscaling of general circulation model (GCM) data for climate change impacts assessments in the Lake Champlain Basin as part of the VT Experimental Program to Stimulate Competitive Research (EPSCoR). This effort investigated the potential for using high-resolution topographic data to further downscale existing bias-corrected and statistically downscaled GCM simulations of temperature and precipitation. We found large changes in several impact variables of relevance to the region, including hot days, cold days, maple syrup production, and cooling degree days.
This project evaluated local projected changes in climate across, as well as drives high-resolution hydrologic and ecological models for, the Lake Champlain Basin.
Brian Beckage (UVM), Arne Bomblies (UVM), Jonathan Winter (Dartmouth College)
- Ortiz, L., González J E, Horton R, Lin W, Wu W, Ramamurthy P, Arend M, Bornstein R. (2019). High-resolution projections of extreme heat in New York City. Int J Climatol. 2019;1–15. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.6102
- Winter, J.M., Beckage B, Bucini G, Horton R M, and Clemins P J. 2016: Development and Evaluation of High-Resolution Climate Simulations over the Mountainous Northeastern United States. J. Hydrometeor., 17, 881–896, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-15-0052.1
- Coffel, E., Horton, R. 2015. Climate Change and the Impact of Extreme Temperatures on Aviation. Weather, Climate, and Society, 7(Anderson 1999), 94-102.
- Winter, J. M., Beckage B, Bucini G, Horton R M, Clemins P J. Guilbert, J., Beckage B, Winter J M, Perkins T, Bomblies, A. (2014). Impacts of projected climate change over the Lake Champlain basin in Vermont. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, (2014).
- Barsugli, J. J., Guentchev G, Horton R M, Wood A, Mearns L O, Xin-Zhong L, Winkler J A, Dixon K, Hayhoe K, Rood R B., Goddard L, Ray A,Buja L, and Ammann C. 2013 The Practitioner's Dilemma: How to Assess the Credibility of Downscaled Climate Projections. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 94(46), 424-425.
- Horton, Radley, and co-authors, "Con Edison’s Climate Change Vulnerability Study: A Partnership between A Utility, Consulting Firm, and Academic Partnership:", AGU, December 13, 2018.
- "Projected ecological impacts of extreme events in the Northeast", New Canaan, CT, April 23, 2018.
- Coffel, E. Economic impacts of more frequent weight restriction on the aviation industry. AMS.. New Orleans, LA. January 10-14, 2016
- Horton et al. AGU talk, "Joint Hazard Assessment for Urban Decision-Makers in the Northeastern United States." American Geophysical Union Annual Meeting, December 14-18, 2015.
- Coffel, E. Climate change and the impact of extreme temperature on aviation. ICNS 2015, Washington, DC. April 21, 2015.