Toni Lyn Morelli : NE CASC

Beaury, E. M., Fusco, E. J., Jackson, M. R., Laginhas, B. B., Morelli, T. L., Allen, J. M., et al. (2020). Incorporating climate change into invasive species management: insights from managers. Biological Invasions, 22, 233-252. http://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-019-02087-6 (Original work published Jan-02-2020)

Sirén, A. P. K., & Morelli, T. L. (2020). Interactive range-limit theory (iRLT): An~extension for predicting range shifts. Journal Of Animal Ecology, 89, 940-954. http://doi.org/10.1111/jane.v89.410.1111/1365-2656.13150 (Original work published Jan-04-2020)

Cartwright, J., Grant, E., & Morelli, T. L. (2020). Mapping Climate Resistant Vernal Pools of the Northeastern U.S.

Beaury, E. M., Barker-Plotkin, A., Brown-Lima, C., Fusco, E., Griffin, B., Joubran, S., et al. (2020). Regional Invasive Species & Climate Change Management Challenge: Taking Action by Managing Invasive Species in the Context of Climate Change. http://doi.org/10.7275/k8q5-4f71

Bradley, B., Beaury, E. M., Fusco, E., Griffin, B., Laginhas, B., & Morelli, T. L. (2019). Double Trouble: Understanding Risks from Invasive Species + Climate Change. http://doi.org/10.7275/mrf6-p616

Morelli, T. L., & Nislow, K. (2019). Final Report for USGS-NECSC and USFS-NRS Cooperative Research on Climate-Vulnerable Habitats and Species in the Northeast. Retrieved from https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/5c8f9d80e4b093882452b2f3 (Original work published 01-Mar-2019AD)

Rapp, J. M., Lutz, D. A., Huish, R. D., Dufour, B., Ahmed, S., Morelli, T. L., & Stinson, K. A. (2019). Finding the sweet spot: Shifting optimal climate for maple syrup production in North America. Forest Ecology And Management, 448, 187-197. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2019.05.045 (Original work published Jan-09-2019)

Beaury, E. M., Fusco, E. J., Jackson, M. R., Laginhas, B. B., Morelli, T. L., Pasquarella, V. J., & Bradley, B. A. (2019). Incorporating climate change into invasive species management: insights from managers. Biological Invasions. http://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-019-02087-6

Lipton, D., Carter, S. L., Peterson, J., Crozier, L. G., Fogarty, M., Gaichas, S., et al. (2018). Chapter 7 : Ecosystems, Ecosystem Services, and Biodiversity. Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United States: The Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume II. http://doi.org/10.7930/NCA4.2018.CH7 (Original work published Nov-23-2018)

Morelli, T. L., & Stinson, K. (2018). Final Report for Climate Effects on the Culture and Ecology of Sugar Maple. Retrieved from https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/5bb25f79e4b08583a5d5999d

Sirén, A. P. K., Somos-Valenzuela, M., Callahan, C., Kilborn, J. R., Duclos, T., Tragert, C., & Morelli, T. L. (2018). Looking beyond wildlife: using remote cameras to evaluate accuracy of gridded snow data. Remote Sensing In Ecology And Conservation. http://doi.org/10.1002/rse2.85 (Original work published 26-Apr-2018AD)

Janowiak, M. K., D'Amato, A., Swanston, C. W., Iverson, L., Thompson, F. R., Dijak, W. D., et al. (2018). New England and northern New York forest ecosystem vulnerability assessment and synthesis: a report from the New England Climate Change Response Framework project. http://doi.org/10.2737/NRS-GTR-173

Littell, J. S., Terando, A. J., & Morelli, T. L. (2017). Balancing research and service to decision makers. Frontiers In Ecology And The Environment, 15, 598-598. http://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1002/fee.1739 (Original work published Jan-12-2017)

Morelli, T. L., Maher, S. P., Lim, M. C. W., Kastely, C., Eastman, L. M., Flint, L. E., et al. (2017). Climate change refugia and habitat connectivity promote species persistence. Climate Change Responses, 4. http://doi.org/10.1186/s40665-017-0036-5 (Original work published Jan-12-2017)

Schwartz, M. W., Hiers, K., Davis, F. W., Garfin, G. M., Jackson, S. T., Terando, A. J., et al. (2017). Developing a translational ecology workforce. Frontiers In Ecology And The Environment, 15, 587-596. http://doi.org/10.1002/fee.1732 (Original work published Jan-12-2017)

Maher, S. P., Morelli, T. L., Hershey, M., Flint, A. L., Flint, L. E., Moritz, C., & Beissinger, S. R. (2017). Erosion of refugia in the Sierra Nevada meadows network with climate change. Ecosphere, 8, e01673. http://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.1673 (Original work published Jan-04-2017)

Enquist, C. A. F., Jackson, S. T., Garfin, G. M., Davis, F. W., Gerber, L. R., Littell, J. A., et al. (2017). Foundations of translational ecology. Frontiers In Ecology And The Environment, 15, 541-550. http://doi.org/10.1002/fee.1733 (Original work published Jan-12-2017)

Hallett, L. M., Morelli, T. L., Gerber, L. R., Moritz, M. A., Schwartz, M. W., Stephenson, N. L., et al. (2017). Navigating translational ecology: creating opportunities for scientist participation. Frontiers In Ecology And The Environment, 15, 578-586. http://doi.org/10.1002/fee.1734 (Original work published Jan-12-2017)

Galbraith, H., & Morelli, T. L. (2017). Vulnerabilities to climate change of Massachusetts animal species of greatest conservation need.

Morelli, T. L., Daly, C., Dobrowski, S. Z., Dulen, D. M., Ebersole, J. L., Jackson, S. T., et al. (2016). Managing Climate Change Refugia for Climate Adaptation. Plos One, 11, e0159909. http://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0159909 (Original work published Aug-10-2016)

Morelli, T. L., Brown-Lima, C., & Bradley, B. (2016). Northeast Regional Invasive Species and Climate Change (RISCC) Management Workshop Report. Northeast Climate Science Center. Retrieved from http://necsc.umass.edu/sites/default/files/Northeast\%20Invasive\%20Species\%20and\%20Climate\%20Change\%20Workshop\%20Report\%20-\%20vf.pdf (Original work published August 2016)

Bryan, A., Kearney, E., Rapp, J. M., Karmalkar, A., & Morelli, T. L. (2016). When Does Choice of Downscaling Method Matter in Decision Making? A Case Study with Maple Syrup Production. In AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts. (Original work published December 2016)

Staudinger, M. D., Morelli, T. L., & Bryan, A. (2015). Integrating Climate Change into Northeast and Midwest State Wildlife Action Plans, 201 pp.

Bradley, B., Morelli, T. L., Bryan, A., Laginhas, B., Thompson, C., Beaury, E. M., & Pasquarella, V. (2020). Regional Effort on Invasive Species and Climate Change (RISCC) Management. Retrieved from https://www.risccnetwork.org/

Morelli, T. L. (2020). Climate Refugia. Retrieved from https://www.climaterefugia.org/

Wallingford, P. D., Morelli, T. L., Allen, J. M., Beaury, E. M., Blumenthal, D. M., Bradley, B., et al. (2020). Adjusting the lens of invasion biology to focus on the impacts of climate-driven range shifts. Nature Climate Change, 10(5), 398-405. http://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-0768-2

Morelli, T. L. (2017). The connections between invasive species and climate change.

Morelli, T. L. (2017). Climate Change and the Backyard Gardener.

Bradley, B., & Morelli, T. L. (2020). Managing interactions between invasive species and climate change.

Morelli, T. L. (2019). Empowering well-informed decisions: Making invasion science accessible for policy and management (S&T).

Sirén, A. P. K., Sutherland, C. S., Bernier, C. A., Royar, K. J., Kilborn, J. R., Callahan, C. B., et al. (2021). Abiotic stress and biotic factors mediate range dynamics on opposing edges. Journal Of Biogeography. http://doi.org/10.1111/jbi.14112

Teitelbaum, C. S., Sirén, A. P. K., Coffel, "E., Foster, J. R., Frair, J. L., Hinton, J. W., et al. (2021). Habitat use as indicator of adaptive capacity to climate change. Diversity And Distributions, 27(4), 655-667. http://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13223

Devarajan, K., Morelli, T. L., & Tenan, S. (2020). Multi‐species occupancy models: review, roadmap, and recommendations. Ecography, 43(11), 1612-1624. http://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.04957

Morelli, T. L., Brown-Lima, C., Allen, J. M., Beaury, E. M., Fusco, E. J., Barker-Plotkin, A., et al. (2021). Translational invasion ecology: bridging research and practice to address one of the greatest threats to biodiversity. Biological Invasions. http://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-021-02584-7 (Original work published April 2021)

Cartwright, J., Morelli, T. L., & Grant, E. (2021). Identifying climate‐resistant vernal pools: hydrologic refugia for amphibian reproduction under droughts and climate change. Ecohydrology. http://doi.org/10.1002/eco.2354

Cartwright, J., Morelli, T. L., & Grant, E. H. C. (2020). Mapping Climate Change Resistant Vernal Pools in the Northeastern U.S. Retrieved from https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/5ef75add82ced62aaae91abf

Morelli, T. L., Barrows, C., Ramirez, A., Cartwright, J., Ackerly, D., Eaves, T., et al. (2020). Climate‐change refugia: biodiversity in the slow lane. Frontiers In Ecology And The Environment, 18(5), 228-234. http://doi.org/10.1002/fee.2189

Lopez, B., Brown-Lima, C., Dalaba, J., Evans, A., MacLean, M. G., & Morelli, T. L. (2021). RISCC Management Challenge: Embracing the Future--Promoting Adaptation and Resilience to Invasive Species and Climate Change. http://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.7275/djdw-cm44

Balantic, C., Adams, A., Gross, S., Mazur, R., Sawyer, S., Tucker, J., et al. (2021). Toward climate change refugia conservation at an ecoregion scale. Conservation Science And Practice, 3(9). http://doi.org/10.1111/csp2.497

Cartwright, J. M., Grant, E. H. C., & Morelli, T. L. (2020). Vernal Pool Inundation Models. Retrieved from https://jmcart.shinyapps.io/vernal_pool_inundation_models/

Lopez, B., Allen, J. M., Dukes, J. S., Lenoir, J., Vilà, M., Blumenthal, D. M., et al. (2022). Global environmental changes more frequently offset than intensify detrimental effects of biological invasions. Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences, 119(22). http://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2117389119

Cartwright, J. M., Morelli, T. L., & Grant, E. H. C. (2020). Mapping Climate Change Resistant Vernal Pools in the Northeastern U.S. Retrieved from https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/5ef75add82ced62aaae91abf

DeLuca, W., Bonnot, T. W., Sirén, A. P. K., Horton, R. M., Griffin, C. R., & Morelli, T. L. (2020). Final Report: Examining the mechanisms of species responses to climate change: Are there biological thresholds?.

Zimova, M., Sirén, A. P. K., Nowak, J. J., Bryan, A. M., Ivan, J. S., Morelli, T. L., et al. (2019). Local climate determines vulnerability to camouflage mismatch in snowshoe hares. Global Ecology And Biogeography, 29(3), 503-515. http://doi.org/10.1111/geb.13049

Rosemartin, A., Crimmins, T. M., Gerst, K. L., Posthumus, E. E., Ramirez, A. R., Wallace, C. S. A., & Morelli, T. L. (2023). Lessons learned in knowledge co-production for climate-smart decision-making. Environmental Science &Amp; Policy, 141, 178-187. http://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2023.01.010

Ahmed, S., Morelli, T. L., & Rapp, J. M. (2023). Climate change and maple syrup: Producer observations, perceptions, knowledge, and adaptation strategies. Frontiers In Forests And Global Change, 6. http://doi.org/10.3389/ffgc.2023.1092218

Rapp, J. M., Lutz, D. A., Huish, R. D., Dufour, B., Ahmed, S., Morelli, T. L., & Stinson, K. A. (2020). Sugar maple responses to climate change: We'll boil it down for you. Forest Ecology And Management , 458. http://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foreco.2019.117760

O’Uhuru, A. C., Morelli, T. L., Evans, A. E., Salva, J. D., & Bradley, B. A. (2024). Identifying New Invasive Plants in the Face of Climate Change: A Focus on Sleeper Species. Biological Invasions, 26(9), 2989-3001. http://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-024-03351-0

O’Uhuru, A. C., Morelli, T. L., Evans, A. E., Salva, J., & Bradley, B. (2024). Identifying new invasive plants in the face of climate change: a focus on sleeper species. Biological Invasions, 26. http://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-024-03351-0